Brigham Young vs Utah State 10/1/2010

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Brigham Young winning 53% of simulations, and Utah State 47% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Brigham Young commits fewer turnovers in 43% of simulations and they go on to win 67% when they take care of the ball. Utah State wins 66% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. JJ Di Luigi is averaging 98 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (36% chance) then he helps his team win 70%. Derrvin Speight is averaging 77 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (28% chance) then he helps his team win 63%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UTST +6 --- Over/Under line is 51.5

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